Focal points, beliefs, and distributional preferences: An experimental analysis

Ferreira, João V.; Hanaki, Nobuyuki; Tarroux, Benoît

Institute of Social and Economic Research Discussion Papers, 2025, 1287

アクセス数:179件（2025-11-03 22:49 集計）

固定URL: https://hdl.handle.net/11094/101385

論文情報

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タイトル
Focal points, beliefs, and distributional preferences: An experimental analysis
著者
著者名
Ferreira, João V.
NRID
1000070400611 1000070400611
ORCID
0000-0003-3127-690X 0000-0003-3127-690X
researchmap permalink
nhanaki nhanaki
Scopus Author ID
16233221700 16233221700
著者名
Hanaki, Nobuyuki
著者名
Tarroux, Benoît
キーワード等
Distributional preference
Focal Points
Equal spli
Belief elicitation
False-consensus bias
JEL分類コード (JEL)
C9
D3
D63
D7
D9
抄録
This paper experimentally examines the interplay between focal points, beliefs, and distributional preferences. Contrary to common wisdom, there is no detectable evidence that equal splits act as salient focal points in distributional voting contexts. Participants mispredict others’ preferences: they overestimate egalitarianism when Pareto efficient options are available and underestimate it when efficiency gains come at others’ expense. There is a clear correlation between individuals’ preferences and beliefs (false-consensus bias), and participants are more egalitarian when they perceive a low probability of being pivotal (cheap fairman talk). These findings challenge assumptions about focal points and highlight beliefdriven behavior in distributional settings.
出版者
The Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka
収録物名
Institute of Social and Economic Research Discussion Papers
巻(号)
1287
刊行年月
2025-05
言語
英語
ハンドルURL
https://hdl.handle.net/11094/101385
PISSN
0473453X
eISSN
24350982
関連情報 (references)
URI
https://www.iser.osaka-u.ac.jp/static/resources/docs/dp/DP1287.pdf
アクセス権
metadata only access
カテゴリ
ディスカッション／ワーキング・ペーパー DP/WP
Institute of Social and Economic Research Discussion Papers