Happiness Before and After an Election : An Analysis Based on a Daily Survey Around Japan's 2009 Election

Kimball, Miles; Morimoto, Shoko; Kinari, Yusuke; Ohtake, Fumio; Tsutsui, Yoshiro

Happiness Before and After an Election : An Analysis Based on a Daily Survey Around Japan's 2009 Election

Kimball, Miles; Morimoto, Shoko; Kinari, Yusuke et al.

Institute of Social and Economic Research Discussion Papers, 2015, 924, 1-34

アクセス数:468件（2025-08-25 23:41 集計）

固定URL: https://hdl.handle.net/11094/51201

論文情報

ファイル出力 EndNote Basic出力 Mendeley出力

タイトル	Happiness Before and After an Election : An Analysis Based on a Daily Survey Around Japan's 2009 Election
著者	著者名 Kimball, Miles
	著者名 Morimoto, Shoko
	NRID 1000010509855 1000010509855 著者名 Kinari, Yusuke
	NRID 1000050176913 1000050176913 ORCID 0000-0002-8825-7446 0000-0002-8825-7446 researchmap permalink ohtake ohtake Scopus Author ID 6701666319 6701666319 著者名 Ohtake, Fumio
	NRID 1000050163845 1000050163845 著者名 Tsutsui, Yoshiro
キーワード等	happiness
	election
	expectation
	survey
	Japan
抄録	This paper investigates whether the Japanese voters became happy and/or unhappy due to the results of the General Election in 2009. We conducted a daily web survey for seven days before and after the election, obtaining1068 responses. Estimating a fixed effects model, we found that supporters of the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ), the winner, became significantly happier, and supporters of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP) and New Komeito, the losers, became significantly unhappier on the day following the election. However, happiness returned to the previous level in one or two days, implying people adapted to the news very quickly. Dividing those who support the policies of DPJ into two groups, those who expect material benefits from the victory of DPJ and those who do not, we demonstrated that the reason why the supporters of the winner (DPJ) felt happy was not because they obtained material benefits from the change of government. We also found that the happiness level of those whose expectation of the election results were realized did not change, while that of those whose expectation differed from the reality changed substantially. In a word, only unexpected results matter.
出版者	The Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University
収録物名	Institute of Social and Economic Research Discussion Papers
巻(号)	924
ページ	1-34
刊行年月	2015-01
言語	英語
ハンドルURL	https://hdl.handle.net/11094/51201
関連情報 (references)	URI https://www.iser.osaka-u.ac.jp/static/resources/docs/dp/2015/DP0924.pdf
アクセス権	metadata only access
カテゴリ	ディスカッション／ワーキング・ペーパー DP/WP
カテゴリ	Institute of Social and Economic Research Discussion Papers

資源タイプ	テクニカルレポート
ローカル資源タイプ	ディスカッション／ワーキング・ペーパー
DCMI資源タイプ	text
DCTERMS.bibliographicCitation	Institute of Social and Economic Research Discussion Papers. 2015, 924, p. 1-34
DC.title	Happiness Before and After an Election : An Analysis Based on a Daily Survey Around Japan's 2009 Election
DC.creator	Kimball, Miles
	Morimoto, Shoko
	Kinari, Yusuke
	Ohtake, Fumio
	Tsutsui, Yoshiro
DC.publisher	The Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University
DC.language' scheme='DCTERMS.RFC1766	英語
DC.type' scheme='DCTERMS.DCMIType	text
DCTERMS.issued' scheme='DCTERMS.W3CDTF	2015-01
DC.relation' scheme='DCTERMS.URI	https://www.iser.osaka-u.ac.jp/static/resources/docs/dp/2015/DP0924.pdf
DC.subject	happiness
	election
	expectation
	survey
	Japan
DCTERMS.abstract	This paper investigates whether the Japanese voters became happy and/or unhappy due to the results of the General Election in 2009. We conducted a daily web survey for seven days before and after the election, obtaining1068 responses. Estimating a fixed effects model, we found that supporters of the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ), the winner, became significantly happier, and supporters of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP) and New Komeito, the losers, became significantly unhappier on the day following the election. However, happiness returned to the previous level in one or two days, implying people adapted to the news very quickly. Dividing those who support the policies of DPJ into two groups, those who expect material benefits from the victory of DPJ and those who do not, we demonstrated that the reason why the supporters of the winner (DPJ) felt happy was not because they obtained material benefits from the change of government. We also found that the happiness level of those whose expectation of the election results were realized did not change, while that of those whose expectation differed from the reality changed substantially. In a word, only unexpected results matter.
DC.format	51201
citation_title	Happiness Before and After an Election : An Analysis Based on a Daily Survey Around Japan's 2009 Election
citation_author	Kimball, Miles
	Morimoto, Shoko
	Kinari, Yusuke
	Ohtake, Fumio
	Tsutsui, Yoshiro
citation_publisher	The Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University
citation_language	英語
citation_date	2015-01
citation_journal_title	Institute of Social and Economic Research Discussion Papers
citation_volume	924
citation_firstpage	1
citation_lastpage	34
citation_public_url	https://hdl.handle.net/11094/51201
citation_abstract_html_url	https://www.iser.osaka-u.ac.jp/static/resources/docs/dp/2015/DP0924.pdf

Happiness Before and After an Election : An Analysis Based on a Daily Survey Around Japan's 2009 Election

論文情報

論文詳細を表示