トランプ政権登場の米中台関係への影響 : 戦略的トライアングル理論による分析

成井, 達也

doi:info:doi/10.18910/65097

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タイトル	トランプ政権登場の米中台関係への影響 : 戦略的トライアングル理論による分析
別タイトル	The Impact of Trump Politics on US-China-Taiwan Relations : Analysis by Strategic Triangle Theory
タイトル (ヨミ)	トランプ　セイケン　トウジョウ　ノ　ベイチュウタイ　カンケイ　ヘ　ノ　エイキョウ　センリャクテキ　トライアングル　リロン　ニ　ヨル　ブンセキ
著者	成井, 達也成井, 達也
著者の別表記	Narii, Tatsuya
著者 (ヨミ)	ナリイ, タツヤ
キーワード等	戦略的トライアングル理論
	米中台関係
	ドナルド・Ｊ・トランプ
	蔡英文
	Strategic Triangle Theory
	US-China-Taiwan Relations
	Donald J. Trump
	Tsai Ing-wen
内容	竹内俊隆教授退職記念論文集
内容	In Honor of Prof. Toshitaka TAKEUCHI
抄録	From 2016 to 2017, relations between the US, China and Taiwan underwent a period of transition with the election of new leaders. Since May 2016, when Tsai Ing-wen assumed the position of Taiwan’s leader, the relationship between China and Taiwan has once again become strained, namely due to their opposing stances on the so-called “1992 Consensus.” This disagreement was further amplified by the conflicting remarks of Donald Trump, who, prior to his inauguration had raised questions about the “One China” policy, and yet gave reassurance to Xi Jinping of US acknowledgement of the policy in their first phone call. Official US policy regarding China, however, as yet remains unclear. This article utilizes strategic triangle theory to analyze the new power dynamics between the US, China and Taiwan. Strategic triangle theory and its variations are useful methods in which to analyze the interactions between the three actors. In reviewing the recent political exchanges between the US, China and Taiwan, this paper concludes that the US and China have a vested interest in seeking amicable relations, though the position of Taiwan remains ever more problematic, in a hypothesis that is rooted in the idea that each actor stands to benefit from rational decision-making.
公開者	大阪大学大学院国際公共政策研究科
公開者 (ヨミ)	オオサカダイガクダイガクインコクサイコウキョウセイサクケンキュウカ
掲載誌名	国際公共政策研究
巻	22
号	1
開始ページ	95
終了ページ	106
刊行年月	2017-09
ISSN	24320870
NCID	AA1115271X
URL	http://hdl.handle.net/11094/65097
言語	日本語
DOI	info:doi/10.18910/65097
カテゴリ	紀要論文 Departmental Bulletin Paper
カテゴリ	国際公共政策研究 / 22巻1号(2017-09)

著者版フラグ	publisher
NII資源タイプ	紀要論文
ローカル資源タイプ	紀要論文
dcmi資源タイプ	text
DCTERMS.bibliographicCitation	国際公共政策研究.22(1) P.95-P.106
DC.title	トランプ政権登場の米中台関係への影響 : 戦略的トライアングル理論による分析
DCTERMS.alternative	The Impact of Trump Politics on US-China-Taiwan Relations : Analysis by Strategic Triangle Theory
DC.creator	成井, 達也
DC.creator	Narii, Tatsuya
DC.publisher	大阪大学大学院国際公共政策研究科
DC.language" scheme="DCTERMS.RFC1766	日本語
DCTERMS.issued" scheme="DCTERMS.W3CDTF	2017-09
DC.identifier" scheme="DCTERMS.URI	http://hdl.handle.net/11094/65097
DC.subject	戦略的トライアングル理論
	米中台関係
	ドナルド・Ｊ・トランプ
	蔡英文
	Strategic Triangle Theory
	US-China-Taiwan Relations
	Donald J. Trump
	Tsai Ing-wen
DC.description	竹内俊隆教授退職記念論文集
DC.description	In Honor of Prof. Toshitaka TAKEUCHI
DCTERMS.abstract	From 2016 to 2017, relations between the US, China and Taiwan underwent a period of transition with the election of new leaders. Since May 2016, when Tsai Ing-wen assumed the position of Taiwan’s leader, the relationship between China and Taiwan has once again become strained, namely due to their opposing stances on the so-called “1992 Consensus.” This disagreement was further amplified by the conflicting remarks of Donald Trump, who, prior to his inauguration had raised questions about the “One China” policy, and yet gave reassurance to Xi Jinping of US acknowledgement of the policy in their first phone call. Official US policy regarding China, however, as yet remains unclear. This article utilizes strategic triangle theory to analyze the new power dynamics between the US, China and Taiwan. Strategic triangle theory and its variations are useful methods in which to analyze the interactions between the three actors. In reviewing the recent political exchanges between the US, China and Taiwan, this paper concludes that the US and China have a vested interest in seeking amicable relations, though the position of Taiwan remains ever more problematic, in a hypothesis that is rooted in the idea that each actor stands to benefit from rational decision-making.
DC.identifier	info:doi/10.18910/65097
citation_title	トランプ政権登場の米中台関係への影響 : 戦略的トライアングル理論による分析
citation_author	成井, 達也
citation_publisher	大阪大学大学院国際公共政策研究科
citation_language	日本語
citation_date	2017-09
citation_journal_title	国際公共政策研究
citation_volume	22
citation_issue	1
citation_firstpage	95
citation_lastpage	106
citation_issn	24320870
citation_public_url	http://hdl.handle.net/11094/65097
citation_keywords	戦略的トライアングル理論
	米中台関係
	ドナルド・Ｊ・トランプ
	蔡英文
	Strategic Triangle Theory
	US-China-Taiwan Relations
	Donald J. Trump
	Tsai Ing-wen
citation_doi	info:doi/10.18910/65097

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