Assessing the Impacts of Deeper Trade Reform in Vietnam in a General Equilibrium Framework

Thu, To Minh; Lee, Hiro

OSIPP Discussion Paper, 2017, DP-2017-E-005, 1-35

アクセス数:207件（2025-07-13 04:28 集計）

固定URL: https://hdl.handle.net/11094/67796

論文情報

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タイトル
Assessing the Impacts of Deeper Trade Reform in Vietnam in a General Equilibrium Framework
著者
著者名
Thu, To Minh
NRID
1000040283460 1000040283460
著者名
Lee, Hiro
キーワード等
Trade reform
economic welfare
sectoral adjustments
Vietnam
CGE model
抄録
Vietnam is on the way to undertake deeper trade liberalisation, including both tariff reductions and reforms in other trade-related areas.In this paper, the impacts of Vietnam’s trade reform on its economic welfare and sectoral adjustments are assessed using a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. We consider the effects of goods and services trade liberalisation, an increase in foreign direct investment inflows, a reduction in administrative and technical barriers to trade, and a reduction in the trade and transport margins. When all effects are combined, Vietnam’s economic welfare is projected to increase by 8.4 percent in 2020 compared with the baseline. Many manufacturing sectors would expand, whereas agricultural, minerals and fuel sectors would contract. The output expansion is most significant in the textiles and wearing apparel sectors.
出版者
Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University
収録物名
OSIPP Discussion Paper
巻(号)
DP-2017-E-005
ページ
1-35
刊行年月
2017-11-06
言語
英語
ハンドルURL
https://hdl.handle.net/11094/67796
関連情報 (references)
URI
http://www.osipp.osaka-u.ac.jp/archives/DP/2017/DP2017E005.pdf
アクセス権
metadata only access
カテゴリ
ディスカッション／ワーキング・ペーパー DP/WP
OSIPP Discussion Paper