The Slow Demographic Transition in Regions Vulnerable to Climate Change

Dao, Thang; Kalkuhl, Matthias; Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis

The Slow Demographic Transition in Regions Vulnerable to Climate Change

Dao, Thang; Kalkuhl, Matthias; Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis

Institute of Social and Economic Research Discussion Papers, 2022, 1190, 1-37

アクセス数:53件（2025-04-27 13:59 集計）

固定URL: https://hdl.handle.net/11094/89375

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タイトル	The Slow Demographic Transition in Regions Vulnerable to Climate Change
著者	NRID 1000020871049 1000020871049 著者名 Dao, Thang
	著者名 Kalkuhl, Matthias
	著者名 Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis
キーワード等	Climate change
	local resources
	fertility
	gender inequality in education
	slow demographic transition
抄録	This paper considers the persistent effects of climate change on the speed of demographic transition,and hence on the size of the population in regions that are the least developed and the most vulnerable to climate change, such as Sub-Saharan Africa. These effects are transmitted through interactions between the education gender gap within families, fertility, and the local environment, through which the demographic transition is delayed. Environmental conditions affect intra-household labor allocation because of the impacts on local resources under the poor infrastructural system. Examples include the collection of essential resources, e.g. clean water and firewood, by women for their families’ daily lives. Climate change causes damage to local resources, offsetting (partially) the role of technological progress and infrastructure investment in saving time that women spend on their housework duties. Hence, the gender inequality in education/income is upheld, delaying declines in fertility and creating population momentum. The bigger population, in turn, degrades local resources and the environment through expanded production. The interplay between local resources, gender inequality, and population, under the persistent effect of climate change, may thus generate a slow demographic transition and stagnation of the least developed regions. We provide empirical confirmation for our theoretical predictions using data from 44 African countries in the period from 1960 to 2017.
出版者	The Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University
収録物名	Institute of Social and Economic Research Discussion Papers
巻(号)	1190
ページ	1-37
刊行年月	2022-09
言語	英語
ハンドルURL	https://hdl.handle.net/11094/89375
PISSN	0473453X
eISSN	24350982
関連情報 (references)	URI https://www.iser.osaka-u.ac.jp/library/dp/2022/DP1190.pdf
アクセス権	metadata only access
カテゴリ	ディスカッション／ワーキング・ペーパー DP/WP
カテゴリ	Institute of Social and Economic Research Discussion Papers

資源タイプ	テクニカルレポート
ローカル資源タイプ	ディスカッション／ワーキング・ペーパー
DCMI資源タイプ	text
DCTERMS.bibliographicCitation	Institute of Social and Economic Research Discussion Papers. 2022, 1190, p. 1-37
DC.title	The Slow Demographic Transition in Regions Vulnerable to Climate Change
DC.creator	Dao, Thang
	Kalkuhl, Matthias
	Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis
DC.publisher	The Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University
DC.language' scheme='DCTERMS.RFC1766	英語
DC.type' scheme='DCTERMS.DCMIType	text
DCTERMS.issued' scheme='DCTERMS.W3CDTF	2022-09
DC.relation' scheme='DCTERMS.URI	https://www.iser.osaka-u.ac.jp/library/dp/2022/DP1190.pdf
DC.subject	Climate change
	local resources
	fertility
	gender inequality in education
	slow demographic transition
DCTERMS.abstract	This paper considers the persistent effects of climate change on the speed of demographic transition,and hence on the size of the population in regions that are the least developed and the most vulnerable to climate change, such as Sub-Saharan Africa. These effects are transmitted through interactions between the education gender gap within families, fertility, and the local environment, through which the demographic transition is delayed. Environmental conditions affect intra-household labor allocation because of the impacts on local resources under the poor infrastructural system. Examples include the collection of essential resources, e.g. clean water and firewood, by women for their families’ daily lives. Climate change causes damage to local resources, offsetting (partially) the role of technological progress and infrastructure investment in saving time that women spend on their housework duties. Hence, the gender inequality in education/income is upheld, delaying declines in fertility and creating population momentum. The bigger population, in turn, degrades local resources and the environment through expanded production. The interplay between local resources, gender inequality, and population, under the persistent effect of climate change, may thus generate a slow demographic transition and stagnation of the least developed regions. We provide empirical confirmation for our theoretical predictions using data from 44 African countries in the period from 1960 to 2017.
DC.format	89375
citation_title	The Slow Demographic Transition in Regions Vulnerable to Climate Change
citation_author	Dao, Thang
	Kalkuhl, Matthias
	Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis
citation_publisher	The Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University
citation_language	英語
citation_date	2022-09
citation_journal_title	Institute of Social and Economic Research Discussion Papers
citation_volume	1190
citation_firstpage	1
citation_lastpage	37
citation_public_url	https://hdl.handle.net/11094/89375
citation_abstract_html_url	https://www.iser.osaka-u.ac.jp/library/dp/2022/DP1190.pdf

The Slow Demographic Transition in Regions Vulnerable to Climate Change

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