Which generation should migration promotion measures target to shortly achieve a compact structure for shrinking cities?

Aoki, Takashi

doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2024.105020

Which generation should migration promotion measures target to shortly achieve a compact structure for shrinking cities?

Aoki, Takashi

Cities, 2024, 150, 105020

アクセス数:279件（2025-07-11 09:56 集計）

固定URL: https://hdl.handle.net/11094/97155

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タイトル	Which generation should migration promotion measures target to shortly achieve a compact structure for shrinking cities?
著者	NRID 1000070908798 1000070908798 ORCID 0000-0003-0357-3245 0000-0003-0357-3245 researchmap permalink takashi_aoki takashi_aoki Scopus Author ID 57349543800 57349543800 著者名 Aoki, Takashi
キーワード等	Compact city
	Life stage
	Migration
	Shrinking city
内容	Aoki T., . Which generation should migration promotion measures target to shortly achieve a compact structure for shrinking cities?. Cities 150, 105020 (2024); https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2024.105020.
抄録	Streamlining urban areas to appropriate sizes based on the current population structure is an important and urgent issue. Therefore, Japan enacted the Location Normalization Plan in 2014, and a shift toward a more compact regional structure is underway. However, this plan cannot force people to migrate to the target area. Consequently, the formation of a compact regional structure is expected to persist for several decades. It consequently is crucial to shortly convert to a compact regional structure based on the voluntary migration of residents before the living environment outside residential zones deteriorates. This study analyzed the time required for the population to reach zero in urbanization-promoting areas excluded from residential attraction, using spatial statistical analysis. We assumed that multiple generations were the targets of the migration promotion policy, and considered the differences in each scenario. The results demonstrate that >100 years would be required before the natural withdrawal of target areas, and that migration policies targeting pre- and post-retirement generations were the most effective. This paper's contribution is valuable in that it discusses the importance of promoting relocation based on the viewpoint of the shortest possible shrinkage to the compacting measures currently being undertaken worldwide in matured cities.
出版者	Elsevier Ltd
収録物名	Cities
巻(号)	150
ページ	105020
刊行年月	2024-07-01
言語	英語
ハンドルURL	https://hdl.handle.net/11094/97155
PISSN	02642751
関連情報 (isIdenticalTo)	DOI (出版社版) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2024.105020
アクセス権	open access
権利情報	This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
出版タイプ	Version of Record
カテゴリ	学術雑誌論文 Journal Article

資源タイプ	学術雑誌論文
ローカル資源タイプ	学術雑誌論文
DCTERMS.bibliographicCitation	Cities. 2024, 150, p. 105020
DC.title	Which generation should migration promotion measures target to shortly achieve a compact structure for shrinking cities?
DC.creator	Aoki, Takashi
DC.publisher	Elsevier Ltd
DC.language' scheme='DCTERMS.RFC1766	英語
DCTERMS.issued' scheme='DCTERMS.W3CDTF	2024-07-01
DC.identifier	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2024.105020
DC.subject	Compact city
	Life stage
	Migration
	Shrinking city
DC.description	Aoki T., . Which generation should migration promotion measures target to shortly achieve a compact structure for shrinking cities?. Cities 150, 105020 (2024); https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2024.105020.
DCTERMS.abstract	Streamlining urban areas to appropriate sizes based on the current population structure is an important and urgent issue. Therefore, Japan enacted the Location Normalization Plan in 2014, and a shift toward a more compact regional structure is underway. However, this plan cannot force people to migrate to the target area. Consequently, the formation of a compact regional structure is expected to persist for several decades. It consequently is crucial to shortly convert to a compact regional structure based on the voluntary migration of residents before the living environment outside residential zones deteriorates. This study analyzed the time required for the population to reach zero in urbanization-promoting areas excluded from residential attraction, using spatial statistical analysis. We assumed that multiple generations were the targets of the migration promotion policy, and considered the differences in each scenario. The results demonstrate that >100 years would be required before the natural withdrawal of target areas, and that migration policies targeting pre- and post-retirement generations were the most effective. This paper's contribution is valuable in that it discusses the importance of promoting relocation based on the viewpoint of the shortest possible shrinkage to the compacting measures currently being undertaken worldwide in matured cities.
DC.rights	This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
DC.format	97155
citation_title	Which generation should migration promotion measures target to shortly achieve a compact structure for shrinking cities?
citation_author	Aoki, Takashi
citation_publisher	Elsevier Ltd
citation_language	英語
citation_date	2024-07-01
citation_journal_title	Cities
citation_volume	150
citation_firstpage	105020
citation_doi	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2024.105020
citation_public_url	https://hdl.handle.net/11094/97155

Which generation should migration promotion measures target to shortly achieve a compact structure for shrinking cities?

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