Estimating the future local public school expenditures in Japan : the impacts of scale diseconomies and the change in faculty age structure

ショウ　チュウ　コウトウ　ガッコウ　ダンカイ　二　オケル　キョウイク　ザイセイ　フタン　ノ　ショウライ　スイテイ　キョウイン　コウセイ　ノ　ヘンカ　オヨビ　キボ　ノ　フケイザイセイ　ノ　エイキョウ

アカイ, ノブオ

Akai, Nobuo

須原, 三樹

スハラ, ミキ

Suhara, Miki

本務教員人件費

規模の不経済

地域間格差

local educational expenditure

faculty costs

scale diseconomies

regional disparity

Decrease in the future number of students due to the low birth rate could affect public educational expenditures in Japan? Is there any regional difference? This paper simulates the future amount of local public primary, junior high, and high school expenditures in each Japanese prefecture. More specifically, we focus on faculty costs which consist of quite a large share of school expenditures. We examine the effect of economies of scale through the change in class/school size, and the impact of the shift in the faculty age distribution on the future faculty costs per student. We also investigate regional disparities concerning the future fiscal burden.

須原, 三樹