Which generation should migration promotion measures target to shortly achieve a compact structure for shrinking cities?

Aoki, Takashi

Cities, 2024, 150, 105020

Number of Access:305（2025-08-13 22:21 Counts）

Identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/11094/97155

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Title
Which generation should migration promotion measures target to shortly achieve a compact structure for shrinking cities?
Creator
NRID
1000070908798 1000070908798
ORCID
0000-0003-0357-3245 0000-0003-0357-3245
researchmap permalink
takashi_aoki takashi_aoki
Scopus Author ID
57349543800 57349543800
CreatorName
Aoki, Takashi
Subject
Compact city
Life stage
Migration
Shrinking city
Description
Aoki T., . Which generation should migration promotion measures target to shortly achieve a compact structure for shrinking cities?. Cities 150, 105020 (2024); https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2024.105020.
Abstract
Streamlining urban areas to appropriate sizes based on the current population structure is an important and urgent issue. Therefore, Japan enacted the Location Normalization Plan in 2014, and a shift toward a more compact regional structure is underway. However, this plan cannot force people to migrate to the target area. Consequently, the formation of a compact regional structure is expected to persist for several decades. It consequently is crucial to shortly convert to a compact regional structure based on the voluntary migration of residents before the living environment outside residential zones deteriorates. This study analyzed the time required for the population to reach zero in urbanization-promoting areas excluded from residential attraction, using spatial statistical analysis. We assumed that multiple generations were the targets of the migration promotion policy, and considered the differences in each scenario. The results demonstrate that >100 years would be required before the natural withdrawal of target areas, and that migration policies targeting pre- and post-retirement generations were the most effective. This paper's contribution is valuable in that it discusses the importance of promoting relocation based on the viewpoint of the shortest possible shrinkage to the compacting measures currently being undertaken worldwide in matured cities.
Publisher
Elsevier Ltd
Source Title
Cities
Volume (Issue)
150
Page
105020
Date of Issued
2024-07-01
Language
English
Handle URL
https://hdl.handle.net/11094/97155
PISSN
02642751
Relation.isIdenticalTo
DOI (Publisher Version)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2024.105020
Access Rights
open access
CopyRight
This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
oaire:version
Version of Record
Category
学術雑誌論文 Journal Article