The Effect of Initial Job in Japanese Labor Market

Nakamura, Ayaka; Takii, Katsuya

OSIPP Discussion Paper, 2024, DP-2024-E-007, 1-43

Number of Access:259（2025-09-01 15:37 Counts）

Identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/11094/98402

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Title
The Effect of Initial Job in Japanese Labor Market
Creator
NRID
1000000906852 1000000906852
researchmap permalink
ayaka_nakamura ayaka_nakamura
CreatorName
Nakamura, Ayaka
NRID
1000070346138 1000070346138
researchmap permalink
k-takii k-takii
Scopus Author ID
6603896348 6603896348
CreatorName
Takii, Katsuya
Subject
Employment stability
Initial labor market condition
MTE
Assignment model
JEL
J62
Abstract
We investigate the effect of being a regular employee in a job which a worker takes immediately after graduation (the initial job), on subsequent job status. We construct an assignment model that can be estimated by the marginal treatment effect (MTE) framework; the model suggests that the region- and cohort-level unexpected shocks that influences the demand for full time-worker share is a valid instrument under some assumptions. Estimating the MTE, we find that the treatment effect of the initial job is heterogeneous among individuals: male workers who are less likely to obtain regular employment in the initial job enjoy benefits of stable employment; however, the regular initial job does not increase the probability of subsequent regular employment for male workers who are likely to obtain regular employment in the initial job.
Publisher
Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University
Source Title
OSIPP Discussion Paper
Volume (Issue)
DP-2024-E-007
Page
1-43
Date of Issued
2024-11-08
Language
English
Handle URL
https://hdl.handle.net/11094/98402
Relation.references
URI
https://www.osipp.osaka-u.ac.jp/archives/DP/2024/DP2024E007.pdf
Access Rights
metadata only access
Category
ディスカッション／ワーキング・ペーパー DP/WP
OSIPP Discussion Paper